Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Caulfield Cup 2012

Caulfield Cup Day 2012

Race One
7.Zoria - 5.A Time For Julia- 8.Triquetra - 4.Thunder Rain

Race Two
5.Magnier - 9.Al Aneed - 1.Pronto Pronto - 8.Divine Moon

Race Three
1.Kabayan - 2.Jimando - 5.Hvasstan - 4.Honorius

Race Four
3.Cameo - 12.Summerbliss - 2.Transonic - 7.Kate

Race Five
5.King's Rose - 4.Galah - 9.Shadowfax - 7.Happy Zero

Quality race to kick off the Big 6. There is a $500 000 jackpot added, so I will certainly be dipping into the pocket come 2.00pm. King's Rose is a high quality sprinter/miler and after a huge run first up I expect her to win before heading onto bigger races at Flemington. Galah has plenty of talent but may prefer a wider track like Flemington.. either way he will be storming home late. Shadowfax is more of a head case than me, but (as with me) when he's on his A-game, he's very hard to beat... actually come to think of it, I've never been hard to beat in any sport really... end comparison. Happy Zero is proven at the highest level and I expect a big showing 2nd up.

Race Six
7.Howmuchdoyouloveme - 3.Thankgodyou'rehere - 1.Mid Summer Music - 5.Curtana

I feel sorry for Greg Miles having to call the final 200m of this race if in fact these are the three in front..
Much like this girl I know.. Howmuchdoyouloveme has an abundance of potential.. but I haven't seen enough of her to make up my mind whether she is worth investing my money into. I couldn't help but be impressed after he ran a 1.08.72 over the 1200m at his last start, but first up at Caulfield, he may be vulnerable. Thankgodyou'rehere ran a terrific race at the Valley first up, and with natural improvement, he should be right in the finish. Mid Summer Music is consistent and proven at the top level, if she is on song she will be rattling down the outside in the last 200.

Race Seven
5.Lightinthenight - 10.Proliferate - 4.Shewan - 2.Bagman

Tough race to kick of the Quaddie, but typical of the day really. Lightinthenite was super impressive last start in the Group 1 Epsom Handicap running a gallant 4th behind Fat Al. He has always shown a huge amount of talent, and will get a soft run from barrier 2. This is a big bonus as the 2000m will be a test, especially first try at the trip. I've always had a soft spot for Proliferate, as he has always shown a great deal of promise. Look for him to peak 3rd up, and the 2000 is right up his alley. Shewan and Bagman are both ever consistent and will be right in the finish.

Race Eight - CAULFIELD CUP
12.Lights Of Heaven - 7.Southern Speed - 10.My Quest For Peace - 13.Secret Admirer

A truly vintage edition of the Caulfield Cup. With 12 individual Group 1 winners in the field, I am expecting a world class staying handicap. The internationals always prove their class when it comes to our Cups, but with the race that stops a nation only two weeks away, penalties will want to be avoided. (Bank on slashing runs from two of the internationals who "found trouble in the straight to run a strong 3rd/4th/5th" ..I'm looking at you My Quest For Peace.) Lights Of Heaven seemingly ticks all the boxes; She has drawn perfectly, is unbeaten at 2000m+ and carries a mere 53KG. If she runs to her full potential (which is always tough with mares), whoever beats her wins the Cup. Last years winner Southern Speed has been hot and cold this campaign, but expect her to bounce back on the big stage. Nash Rawiller should give her a nice run just off the hot speed and she will be strong to the line. Secret Admirer hasn't got form beyond 1600m, but on class alone she definitely must be put into the mix. Zabeelionaire, Sneak A Peek and December Draw must for Quaddies/Trifectas etc.

Race Nine
5.Raspberries - 1.Mosheen - 12.Lucky Penny - 2.Streama

Apart from the Cup, this looks the hardest race of the day. Willing to take a risk and back against super mare Mosheen here; She hasn't been that impressive this campaign, and although a winner last start, I think Raspberries definitely has more upside. Raspberries always runs super second up and attacks the line with plenty of gusto. We'll have our hearts in our mouths for the last 100 as she doesn't tend to win by much! Lucky Penny is a lightly raced improving type and Streama has plenty of class. Definitely don't leave out Red Tracer and my girl Soft Sand of your Quaddies.

Race Ten
11.Tres Vite - 3.Mrs Onassis - 1.Serene Star - 12.Sweet Little Lies

Great way to end the day with another tough race; but the tougher the race, the better the odds!!! Tres Vite was disappointing as odds-on favourite last start. The Price stable has huge wraps on the mare, and I'm willing to trust their judgement. The slight step up in distance should suit and is drawn to put herself into the race. Mrs Onassis has been nothing but impressive so far this campaign and will be right in the finish once again. My only concern is barrier 2 this late in the day, but as long as she jumps well, you will get a good sight for your money. Serene Star just keeps winning, but with 58KG on her back and now jumping from barrier 14 this is a big test. Sweet Little Lies is super quick and lightly raced so is a must for exotics.. Flash Of Doubt and Glows certainly not the worst. (And #10 City Of Song.. you know why)

No comments:

Post a Comment