Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Caulfield Guineas Day 2012

CAULFIELD

Race One
3.Speediness – 11.Instinction – 7.Dusty Star – 9.Spacecraft

Race Two
10.Snitzerland – 5.Lankan Rupee – 1.Sizzling – 3.Fire Thunderbolt

Race Three
5.Elite Elle – 8.Saturn Rock – 6.Formidable - 7.Clinking

Race Four
*1.Buffering – 5.Golden Archer – 4.Pampelonne – 2.Temple Of Boom

With Black Caviar missing for the Spring, Buffering takes over the best sprinter in Australia mantle. He handles all going, and after a solid win when the 1200 didn't suit, looks perfectly placed here. Golden Archer seems the only danger but will find it tough from barrier 10, and appears to be a step below in class.

Race Five
6.Ocean Park – 7.Sabrage – 5.Sanagas - 2.Sincero

Ocean Park was super impressive winning his last start in a Group 1 at this track only two weeks ago. The withdrawl of WFA star Manighar means a similar performance seemingly has him over the line. However! With a small field and a lack of pace, the $1.60 is a big no-no. Maybe play around the exotics and expect big showings from the so far disappointing Sabrage and Sanagas. With more fuel in the legs they could be the knock-outs.

Race Six
1.More Joyous – 3.Glass Harmonium – 7.Solzhenitsyn – 2.King Mufhasa

Not a vintage edition of the Group 1 Toorak Handicap, but excitement surrounds Melbourne's only chance to see glamour mare More Joyous before she attacks the Cox Plate. Carrying 2KGs more (60) than she did winning a stronger edition two years ago should hold no qualms for More Joyous. Not even the expected wet track should halt her performance (as long as its not too Heavy.. then maybe look elsewhere). Glass Harmonium and  Solzhenitsyn look the only dangers, but in reality they'll be battling out the minors.

Race Seven - Caulfield Guineas
1.Pierro – 8.Let Go Lenni – 2.Epaulette – 3.All Too Hard

Pierro wins, that much we know. Wet/Dry, Leading/Swooping, Four legs/Three legs... well lets not go that far, but you get the point. The real interest for me surrounds the 2nd and 3rd placings. Let Go Lenni ran a tough 2nd behind Epaulette at only his third start, and natural improvement should have him right in the finish. All Too Hard has been a little disappointing since turning three, but the talented colt could bounce back and be right in the finish.

Race Eight
6.Dance With Her – 9.Excluded – 8.Exceptionally – 2.Gatewood

I will not be betting in this race, let me make that clear. I suggest finding the most attractive female you can find, ask her favourite colour, and match it with the silks of a horse in this race. If you must follow me, then Dance With Her is ultra consistent and ultra tough. At her last 2400m start she ran a gallant 2nd to Lights of Heaven who Peter Moody rates as his best Caulfield Cup chance (the $13 is very enticing). Excluded is talented... but frustrating. Exceptionally will be closing hard late and has a touch of class. Best of the imports looks to be Gatewood, but proceed with caution.

Race Nine
13.Classy Chloe – 4.Miss Marx – 3.Detours – 14.Serene Star

As with the last race, throw a blanket over 15 of them. My brother always back #10 in the last, so maybe do that..? But I digress.. I have always had a soft spot for Classy Chloe.. as her name states.. she has a touch of class. My only concern is barrier 1 late in the day, as by race 9, the track may be fairly chopped up. Miss Marx is drawn to swoop and has done nothing but impress this campaign. Detours rises in weight (up to 58kg) and may be vulnerable. Serene Star and Arctic Flight are musts for Quaddies and Exotics. 

1 comment:

  1. Can you write up post race reviews? Why did Pierro and More Joyous lose? Overridden?

    ReplyDelete