Derby Day 2012

Derby Day 2012

Race One

4.Al Aneed – 2.Pronto Pronto – 1.Tatra – 5.Lunar Rise

Race Two

6.Excluded – 8.Exceptionally – 1.Gatewood – 12.Dare To Dream

Race Three

1.Dear Demi – 7.Tyanna – 4.Zydeco – 8.Kate

Face Four

11.Nechita – 9.Snitzerland – 6.Shamexpress – 1.Sizzling

Race Five 

3.Alcopop – 7.Ocean Park – 4.December Draw – 2.Glass Harmonium

After declaring that Ocean Park wouldn't win the Cox Plate... I was shattered; my sterling reputation (well in my own head anyway) and my money.. gone! So I've done what all good, arrogant punters do.. and tipped against him again! This time however, it's because the bookmakers have learnt their lesson and posted odds of $1.50; far too short for my liking! If you are searching for value, Alcopop has been super all campaign and at his last two starts has run 2nd behind Ocean Park and also behind Dunaden in the Caulfield Cup. At $5 I suggest having a little money on him, but also playing around with the top 2 in multiples. December Draw and Glass Harmonium should fill the top 4.

Race Six -The Derby 

9.Subiaso – 11.Malabar Man – 3.Honorius – 1.It’s A Dundeel

The 2012 Derby posed many questions that after numerous hours of deliberation, I think I've finally been able to answer."Will It's A Dundeel run a strong 2500?"...No.. "Is Jimando that much of a head case that he might just win this thing?"...Yes... and most importantly "Is race 6 too early to be talking to attractive brunettes?"... Dependent on my beer consumption.. but lets go with No. Anyway, on to the important stuff; Subiaso is a lightly raced son of Testa Rossa who has shown plenty of promise throughout this campaign. After drawing a decent barrier last start, he was able to race midfield, and finished strongly beaten less than a length by Hvasstan. At $17 I'm expecting a big show for our money! Malabar Man is another who is lightly raced, but has shown improvement at every start. He is bred to stay all day, so if the others are folding in the last 200, expect him to one of the last few standing. It's A Dundeel has the class and is a born stayer... but looks more like a Shetland Pony than a Thoroughbred. If it's a slowly run Derby, his turn of foot may prove to be the difference.

Race Seven 

2.Secret Admirer – 1.Streama – 4.Red Tracer – 6.Pear Tart

Much like my other infatuation Sharnee Rose, it's about time Secret Admirer stopped using me for my money and causing me heartache. It's time to deliver!! Inspired by the aforementioned Sharnee's breakout win on Thursday, I'm dipping back into my pocket and preparing to have my faith in this sport reinstated!  If my heart is in fact to be broken , it will probably be by the classy Sydneysider Streama. Super-impressive last start at Caulfield, expect her to bounce out from barrier 9 and attempt to control the race from the front. She'll definitely look the winner at some stage during the race. Pear Tart and Red Tracer a must for multiples.

Race Eight 

*6.Howmuchdoyouloveme – 9.Miss Marx – 2.Golden Archer – 5.Spirit Of Boom

Homuchdoyouloveme? Lots. Howmuchwillyoulovemeaftertomorrow? That's yet to be decided.

A horse with untapped potential, Howmuchdoyouloveme did it easily first up defeating a reasonably handy field. He is sure to be tested on Saturday in a much stronger race, but I'm supremely confident after he scorched the Flemington straight in track-work earlier this week. If there are any dangers to the favourite, expect a big finish from the consistent Miss Marx and the bulletproof Golden Archer. The 'Boom Brothers', Temple and Spirit seem to love the Flemington straight, so expect Spirit of Boom to be right in the finish.

Race Nine

4.Fawkner – 5.Free Wheeling – 9.Morant - 1.Wall Street

After perusing through the Derby Day program first time around, it struck me; three of my favourite horses are going to be contesting the last three races.. There's either going to be lots of fake pistol finger pointing... or lots of fist shaking and the use of a famous female swimmers last name. Fawkner is the last of the three and I'm certainly confident! Fawkner has always shown potential, and this campaign it appears Lloyd Williams and co have found his niche; 1400m at Flemington... hoping there will be a fast tempo. If the speed is clapped on as expected, hearts will be in mouths until the last 50m.. but the big boy should get the job done! Free Wheeling was super first up and the rise in distance will certainly be to his liking. Mid Summer Music seems to have gone of the boil, but has Group 1 form and is a must for multiples. Expect Morant to run a cheeky race at good odds.

QUADDIE
1,2,3,5,9,11,13
1,2,4,6,10,11
2,5,6,9
4,5,9
$50 = 9.92%